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The Superbru Herald - Superbru News

Jack's Round 1 Premier League Predictions

Happy new season, everyone.

Having already set the scene with my full season preview which you can read here, we're focusing only on the Round 1 fixtures and the Premier League Predictor today.

The opening round of a new campaign is never easy predictions wise, as we'll obviously know a lot more about each team by the time we reach Round 3 or 4. This year, we arguably have more unknowns than ever, because there are new managers all over the shop.

Match previews

If you're after a preview for each specific match this season, upgrade to Superbru Premium.

Those previews are where I look to provide much more detail for every individual game, with the necessary team news also provided alongside a data-driven prediction based on the aggregate taken from top performing Superbru players.

My thoughts

This season in these opinion pieces, I'll be providing an image displaying my own personal predictions for you to compare with your own, but I'll be writing about the round more generally rather than game-by-game.

Once we get going, I'll look back at how I did in each previous round too, where I'm hoping to do much better than last season when comparing performance on the new charts we now have on the Superbru Football app 😅

Feel free to leave your own thoughts in the comments too so that we can have some good conversation alongside our picks in each round.

Round 1

I'm not going with any particularly big upsets in Round 1, and on paper, the opening two matches look the most straightforward.



Arsenal are the team to beat this season and while I think Coventry will be competitive over the course of the campaign, a trip to the Emirates first up is a massive ask.

Saturday's 3pm slot here in the UK tends to be home to the most challenging predictions and that's certainly the case in this round. All three of those games could easily go either way, and while I was thinking a few days ago that I might pick Ipswich to win what is a relatively favourable home game on their return to the Premier League, Sunderland were solid last season and I think the Tractor Boys might be a bit light in attack initially (Julio Enciso is a great signing but likely won't be up to speed?).

Brighton vs. Villa is another tough one but Villa are going to be far from full strength in these opening weeks so Brighton have a good opportunity there in my opinion, even after a trip to the Arctic Circle this week.

Like most, I certainly have some doubts about Manchester City, but historically they've literally always beaten Bournemouth in the Premier League and I think they might remind everyone that they're still a strong side, albeit in need of some new players before the window shuts.

My final two predictions are 3-1 scorelines and perhaps the most punchy. As I said in my season preview, I think Liverpool might have some high-scoring games early on so that's more of a chaotic 1-3 pick rather than because I think Liverpool will be amazing, plus Newcastle are likely to struggle in midfield.

For the SW6 derby, I might have been a little harsh on Fulham, but will they be at it from the off defensively under Alvaro Arbeloa? I have a few doubts, and I think Chelsea will score a lot of goals this season, so that's a slight early gamble on the basis that most will be going 1-2 or 0-2 Chelsea.

Storylines to watch in Round 1

For those that, like me, love a bit of a narrative:

🇸🇪 Alexander Isak returning to face Newcastle (hence the cover photo).
Liverpool need Isak to fire this season with Ekitike injured, and he'll be up against a Newcastle crowd that are fuming with a mass sale of key players which he arguably triggered last summer.

🫂 Last season's Real Madrid managers facing one another in the SW6 derby.
Alvaro Arbeloa and Xabi Alonso also played together for Madrid, Liverpool and Spain.

🔄 Brennan Johnson and Dwight McNeil facing their former clubs just days after Everton and Palace completed a swap deal.
McNeil finally gets his fresh start and yet he's still going to be at Hill Dickinson Stadium

Have a good one, everyone! Which predictions do you disagree with?
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NOTED..... THANKS
21 Aug 11:15
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Arsenal/MU/Everton/The Tricky Trees/B&HA/MC/Liverpool and Chelsea to win
The Bees to draw and also a draw at Portman Road.
21 Aug 11:21
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Gave NF the ein at home 2-1, tied up the Everton game with Palace and Villa and Brighton, although I'm scared of that one lol. The rest was very similar. Excited for a new season to see how it kicks off, Good luck all.
21 Aug 12:50
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I always look forward to the challenge. 21 Aug 12:54
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The challenge in the first couple of rounds is to predict the inevitable upsets. I have no idea which games will be upsets, but I will give it a try. 21 Aug 13:01
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Best of luck, Scot! Yes Brighton vs. Villa is very tough. Going to need some luck in these early rounds. 21 Aug 13:07
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Has the prize been announced? Does anyone know?
21 Aug 14:06
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Good picks Jack and intelligent reasoning. Here's mine, subject to change

https://i.postimg.cc/Tw1sxStF/Screenshot-2026-08-21-162412.png
21 Aug 15:24
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I couldn't be bothered typing them all out and copy and paste gave weird formatting lol. So that's a link to open, it's perfectly safe. 21 Aug 15:27
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Can't find ur screenshot/Picks Dave 22 Aug 10:51
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There is a link above. 22 Aug 11:13
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Tried, no screenshot showing 22 Aug 12:17
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works for me Chopper. Bit weird if it isn't for you. Thanks for trying anyway. 22 Aug 12:20
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Here Chopper, it's too late for today's game, but I will write tomorrow's if you wanna see - bear in mind that I might change my mind on some.

Brentford 2-1 Tottenham (not sure on this at all as I believe Spurs have good record there)
Brighton 2-2 Villa
Man City 2-1 B'mouth
Newcastle 1-2 Liverpool
Fulham 1-2 Chelsea 22 Aug 15:11
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Tks 22 Aug 17:47
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That's no problem mate. 22 Aug 18:35
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Wen are vik sports
21 Aug 17:31
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Come on Cov! ❤️
21 Aug 18:26
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At that point of the Superbru season where the predictions haven't gone wrong yet 😁
21 Aug 19:31
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Hull city is the most deadly team I've ever seen
22 Aug 12:12
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I do think United will have an average season. Lots more games. Plus I don't think Carrick has much intelligence, charisma or tactical acumen. The results last season were way better than performances, too, and the underlying stats bear out they weren't much better if at all than under Amorim. Plus Fernandes forces them to play chaos ball.

I don't rate any of Santos, Beleba or Tielemans either (Tielemans is ok but a mid-table player) and think they'll all be deadwood in two years. Like Ugarte is now - another midfielder their fans convinced themselves was brilliant before they watched him play. Many of their fans just don't learn about hyping up poor and average players they sign.

Even guys like Mbeumo and Cunha. They were delighted because they are 'PL proven'. But they are mid-table players - you will never win a league with guys like those two, Amad, Sesko, Rashford, Dorgu in your attack. It's nowhere near good enough to be an elite side. They're decent players on their best day
22 Aug 13:37
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and flatter to deceive often - they will never be elite players. Their defence is a bombscare too.

I admit I despise Man United so am biased against them. But I have been calling their failures for many years now. And to me this is the latest false dawn. So many of their fans (especially on sites like Redcafe) are far too positive and happy clapper types. This is why they overrate the team so much and are then shocked when it predictably falls apart. 22 Aug 13:43
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Anyway, it's just my opinion based on the evidence from last season and what I see before me. If anyone disagrees then fair enough. 22 Aug 15:15
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On another note...as expected the Championship is wildly difficult to predict. It's a volatile league and an absolute slog.
22 Aug 13:53
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I concur Dave. It's been really tough so far. 22 Aug 21:10
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Yes Marko. Very tough. 23 Aug 09:38
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PSG are away tonight the suoerbru fixtures have them at home they are definitely away just thought I'd let everyone know if they predict ligue 1
23 Aug 18:05
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Thanks Wayne. Yes niche case for that fixture - the Parc des Princes has been deemed unplayable so they are indeed playing at Rennes instead at short notice, though as it stands this is still PSG's ‘home' match as there's no agreement for the reverse fixture to be switched to Paris at present. Rennes are essentially doing PSG a favour this evening but obviously it should help their own chances of a result! 23 Aug 18:19
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Rennes certainly got a boost with a 2-2 draw they did very well
23 Aug 21:04
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Yeah Wayne. They're a good team in Ligue 1 context. It's a good start for them. 24 Aug 11:32
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Lol got 5 exacts today across various leagues. 3 in Serie A . Few bad ones too but overall luck was in today.
23 Aug 21:49
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Out of 15 games I believe. 23 Aug 21:50
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I got the same over 4 leagues. La Liga was a pile of pants. I'm not too good at predicting football scores. Plenty of time left to rise to the top.😮 23 Aug 22:29
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I am sure you will do ok mate, it's fine. 24 Aug 11:27
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I will rise up the table and prevail.😁 24 Aug 22:06
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I have every faith in you man. 24 Aug 22:16
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can i join your league? 25 Aug 18:16
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Of course you can. You are welcome to join my pools or Marko's Club and also Dave's pools. Search for the The Gunslinger (The Invincibles) 25 Aug 19:57
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Yeah queen of winning you can join any I have too, though I only run one I think. If I ever add more I will let you know. 25 Aug 21:20
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Thank you!! 28 Aug 00:43
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I have 9.5 pts from 9 games in the prem. The slam point is interesting because in the prem you only need to get half the predictions right which is to be honest rather easy but maybe it gets harder around February cos I dont know cos it's my first time doing the premier league. I started predicting in the expanded world cup.
24 Aug 07:04
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Well done. It really depends. There's been quite a few upsets percentage-wise in the first week of PL so I am thinking we might see lower average score than some other weeks. But 9.5 points is excellent 24 Aug 11:28
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I'm best in the French league. In the English league it's a disaster.
24 Aug 14:23
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Only been one week mate. Plenty time to redeem it. 24 Aug 18:37
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Not sure about Chelsea this season either. Feel like a bunch of names with no clue how to play with each other. I am also not convinced that Rogers is not just another way overhyped English player. Their defence and goalkeeper are shocking.

Feels like people think they'll challenge by default just by not having Europe. But they're a basket case of a club. I think the jury is still also very much out on Alonso and his Leverkusen title win could be an anomaly, rather than the norm,

They have a lot of issues at the club. Being run by vulture venture capitalists who just throw money at any player then look to flip them, and having 1000 players on their books, being some of the main ones.
24 Aug 19:38
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In saying all this, tbh other than Arsenal none of the 'big six' (cringe term) PL teams impress me much. So much change at these clubs. So who knows where teams will finish. Let's hope sides like Brighton and Brentford can upset the applecart and get into top five 24 Aug 19:48
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Anyway I know some of my posts come across kind of snarky and dismissive. That's just the aloof tone I write with sometimes. It's not intended to antagonise. 24 Aug 20:02
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I like your aloof tone of writing Dave. Lol 25 Aug 12:54
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Thanks Marko. Sometimes it's more positive lol. 25 Aug 13:18
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A few teams don't really get going until September so certain wins may only be a draw also when referees send players off that can ruin predictions
24 Aug 20:22
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Also check out most common scores in each league for example there are quite a lot of 1-0 away wins in seria a get a few of those as exacts make a big difference at the end of the season
24 Aug 20:24
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Yes Serie A has a lot of low scoring games. It's a very tactical league. Juventus especially seem to win plenty of games 1-0 24 Aug 21:02
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I like the new bonus points system, Jack. Much appreciated.
24 Aug 22:07
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1 result, 2 close, 2 exact, 5 wrong. Given some of the upsets in the first weekend, that start is satisfactory for me. Nothing to get excited about but it's fine.
24 Aug 22:12
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well done. stinker for me. only 3 right 25 Aug 09:36
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Thanks. I am sure it will improve for you soon - I oly have 6 out of 24 correct outcomes in first two weeks of Championship lol. Still the first week of PL, it wilkl get better. 25 Aug 12:22
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yeah champo seems very unpredictable! 26 Aug 14:56
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Yeah Fleeto. It is extremely difficult lol. Hopefully it settles down and some patterns start to form so it becomes easier, lol. 26 Aug 15:13
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On a non-footballing note, what do we think of Haaland and Hurzeler's new haircuts? Suits them both I think - Haaland looks a lot better with a military cut than with that long hair get up that didn't suit him at all, lol.
24 Aug 22:25
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Palmer is back in form. Chelsea can only focus on the league. Chelsea will be strong.
25 Aug 12:30
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Yeah, might be right. I doubted them above and still do have my doubts, but there's a decent chance they do well.

As I said, think Clearlake is their biggest problem. They just constantly buy any and every player and there seems to be no plan of how to integrate them successfully into the squad or gel a team together. It seems a little better this transfer window, maybe. But that sort of ownership isn't really about winning or doing well on the park - it's about flipping players to make profits. 25 Aug 13:29
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Not the PL - but Celtic were 4-0 up on aggregate when they took the lead in Austria tonight, and LASK have scored four goals since to equal the tie. It might be a totla bottle job.
25 Aug 20:55
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Conceded again in extra time and lost 5-4 on aggregate. Complete disaster for them. 25 Aug 22:26
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That is not quality football.
25 Aug 23:58
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I didn't watch it but it's a bad bad time. It's a sore one, They thought Kairat was bad last season but this is worse. I mean LASK are a decent respectable European side, but when you go 4-0 up on aggregate in the second leg - even away - it's an unmitigated disaster to go out. 26 Aug 00:05
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They will still win the league by a country mile.
26 Aug 00:30
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Indeed. But that is a big part of the problem - Celtic (and Rangers too) decimate the domestic competition, so when they go into Europe they're not prepared for the level. It's a catch 22 26 Aug 00:38
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A similar situation occurred with Lech Poznań, which played against the Danish team Aarhus. Only there, the Poles gained an away advantage and lost it at home. I am Polish... it hurt.
26 Aug 10:44
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yes that was last month wasn't it?. Collapses like that often hurt more than just losing 1-0 in each leg or something 26 Aug 13:58
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yes last month
26 Aug 15:37
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Will the Champions League, Europa League and Conference League also be available on Superbru?
26 Aug 16:21
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Champions League and Europa League yes, not Conference League. Jack made a post about upcoming tournaments near the end of the World Cup. However, it has vanished now as Superbru only shows the last 10 or so articles. 26 Aug 16:39
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Interesting Champions League draw.
27 Aug 18:05
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Another red card in Spain tonight it's becoming impossible to predict anything in la liga if it goes on like this
27 Aug 20:37
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certainly seems to have cost celta the game. I had them to win 2-1 and Barca to win 3-1. 27 Aug 21:19