Having come close to a GSP on the opening two weekends, Round 3 was a shocker with just 4 correct picks out of 8.
Four big upsets, including one draw, tripped me up, although it was great to see some victories for the South African teams as they start to find their feet in the new competition.
Here are my United Rugby Championship predictions for Round 4 this weekend.
Ulster v Lions
Ulster have started the tournament strongly with three victories so far, and this is likely to be another one. The Lions should be encouraged by their performance last week, but they won’t get as close to Ulster. Ulster by 13
Dragons v Stormers
The Dragons were underwhelming in the first two rounds with two defeats at home, but then somehow won away at Connacht last weekend. I still don’t rate them very highly though, and I’m picking the Stormers to pick up their first victory of the tournament. Stormers by 4
Zebre v Glasgow
The Zebre defence has been almost non-existent so far, with 114 points conceded across their opening three matches. Glasgow’s attack could run riot here. Glasgow by 28
Benetton v Ospreys
The Ospreys haven’t been terribly convincing so far, and I’m leaning towards the home team here. They cost me the GSP in the opening two rounds, winning when I’d picked them to lose, so I’m getting behind them for this one. Benetton by 4
Leinster v Scarlets
The Scarlets conceded 43 points at home to Munster last week, and this is likely to be an even tougher fixture, away at Leinster. Leinster by 18
Edinburgh v Bulls
The Bulls finally picked up a win, away at Cardiff last weekend, and there are encouraging signs for all the South African teams. Edinburgh are tough to beat at home though, and I think they’ll edge this one. Edinburgh by 2
Munster v Connacht
Connacht beat Munster in their most recent fixture back in May, but Munster are the stronger side and they should win this at home. Munster by 13
Cardiff v Sharks
This is another tough pick to end the round, with the Sharks looking to follow up their impressive win over the Ospreys last week. It feels like a 50/50, and so I’m backing the home team. Cardiff by 4