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The Superbru Herald - Superbru News

Survey results: Rugby Bonus Point change

Last week we introduced an important change to the scoring for our rugby union, rugby league, Aussie Rules and American Football predictor games, starting with the Rugby Championship and Top 14. The pool Bonus Point now has a cap: if you are the closest in your pool, but more than 15 points away from the actual score margin, you no longer qualify for a Bonus Point.

For more detail on the reasoning, read our original article about the change.

Survey results

As this was a fundamental change to a rule that had stood for over ten years, we were monitoring the reaction of the community carefully. A survey running this week has come back a very positive vote of confidence for the change:

What do you think of the Bonus Point Range Cap that we have recently introduced in Rugby?

From the 5,126 responses so far:
  • 37% Love it!
  • 26% I quite like it.
  • 22% I don't mind either way.
  • 5% I don't really like it.
  • 3% Hate it!
  • 8% I don't know
So that's 85% in favour or ambivalent vs 8% who don't like it.

However, we're still mindful that some people don't like it, and 3% actually hate the change - we want everyone to love SuperBru, so we aren't just going to ignore that 8%.

Instead, we are looking into making this (and other rules) configurable on a per pool basis so each captain can decide on his or her particular pool rules. This will be part of a fresh site design, new app and other exciting changes coming for 2017.

How did it go in the Rugby Championship?

Last weekend, the rule was tested immediately: in the first match, the All Blacks ran away to an unexpectedly big 34-point win over the Wallabies. With the cap in place, you had to have picked the ABs by between 19 and 49 to qualify for BP. This had the effect of denying the BP to players who had the biggest ABs pick in their pool but had only gone as high as the mid-teens.

In my pool, Steve had the biggest pick with ABs by 17. Previously he'd have scored 1 WP + 1 BP = 2 pts while the rest of us scored 1pt (except my father-in-law, who must have had finger trouble as he picked the Wallabies).

Sure, Steve's ABs by 17 was the closest in the pool. But then the Admiral had the ABs by 16. Was Steve's pick really worth double the score of the Admiral's? This question is at the heart of the change, especially as a lot of SuperBru players have raised this issue over the years.

We think we've struck a decent balance: we haven't ruined the ability to score a Bonus Point by having the biggest pick in your pool; we're just looking for a little more accuracy, and plenty of Bonus Points were won by players in the 19 - 49 range in the Aus v NZ game.

Let us know what you think of the results.
91,770 caps
I think it much more fair.
26 Aug 09:17
23,669 caps
Agreed
27 Aug 09:44
16,942 caps
As if 63% to 8% was not enough you have to twist the figures to match even further what you want, you could also say 63% in favour and 30% against or ambivalent , you should not assign the "ambivalents" to either side so stating 85% to 8% just to fit what you want has to cast doubt on all the figures in the first place.
26 Aug 12:50
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There was a survey? I never even had an invitation to participate! I agree, they twist the numbers to fit their own agenda 26 Aug 23:42
ADMIN
90,855 caps
I can assure you there is not a hidden agenda to rob you or anyone else of points! Our only agenda is to make the game as fun as possible so that people want to play. If people don't play, we won't have a business and we'll stop running SuperBru.

We want everyone to love SuperBru, which is why we will build something to cater for the 8% that do not like the BP cap.
27 Aug 07:16
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Well, the game is no longer fun ..... so, if that was your goal, I guess you failed. There was nothing wrong with the old BP system; so why meddle with something that was never broken. 27 Aug 17:27
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Some would argue that those BPs were undeserved and thus system was clearly broken. Also one ahs to decide what is actually fair. (Reminder: At some pools you can win actual prizes.) 27 Aug 18:09
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just lol @ this crying bout a small technical point, 51% is still more than 49 3 Sep 17:30
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Also a total just over 5,100 votes from over 1,100,000 users is pretty meaningless either way and I suspect the minority "serious" players are more likely to vote and agree than the majority not so serious ones.
26 Aug 12:56
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You better consider only those who actually participate in rugby predictions. At most few dozen thousands do. Your use of total members is grossly incorrect. Ironical given your post... 27 Aug 18:11
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195,000 Brus played the Super Rugby Predictor, still very low margin that voted in the survey 28 Aug 05:44
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Bet you most didn't bother voting and will be crying afterward about the result... 3 Sep 17:32
103,338 caps
Any improvement is good (",)
26 Aug 14:39
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It's a great improvement! It brings focus and reward for players with better rugby knowledge. It discourages playing strategically just to beat the algorithms of superbru. It's about Rugby - SuperBru is not a computer game.

The next version will allow the captain to configure the pool to the tastes of each particular pool. In all my own rugby pools, my fellow Bru's are overwhelmingly in favor of reducing the influence of the bonus point. 1 Sep 23:11
3,732 caps
You getting there SB. Now just halve the bonus point value. At least. One bloke in your pool gets 1 game right and gets the same number of points as you who picked both correctly. That's assuming said bloke doesn't hook the margin to total 2.5 points off one correct prediction. That's a blow ain't it??
26 Aug 15:10
2,754 caps
I agree. Another grey area is a drawn result in rugby. It's currently more rewarding to predict a 1pt margin than to predict a draw. At least you get 0.5 points if you expect a very close game, rather than 0 points if you predict a draw and the game ends in a one or two point margin. In that case predicting a draw yields zero, yet a player who dares predict a draw is surely one with good knowledge of rugby and should not be denied some reward.

Would it would be fairer to award a DRAW prediction with 0.5pts for a result margin of 2 points either way? Anyway, with the way it works now, nobody ever predicts a draw in my SuperBru rugby pools. 1 Sep 23:33
ADMIN
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@qWinn, a correct draw pick is equally as rewarding as any other pick. If you correctly predict a draw you'll earn 1 Win Point for the result, 0.5 Margin Points for the margin and 1 Bonus Point for the closest correct pick in the pool (assuming that you were the only bru to pick that result of course). If you get the draw result wrong you still qualify for 0.5 Margin Points if the final result is within 5 points from either team. So you do not walk away with 0 points in that case as you have stated.

That's how the scoring should work. If you're aware of any case contrary to that please do let us know and we'll investigate. 2 Sep 07:16
68,940 caps
Its a fair change in my opinion. Margin is the most important factor when tournaments are decided. So the closer you are from the actual winning margin the more you'll be rewarded. This will also have a positive effect on certain game plans and strategies. So thanks SB i love this out of the box z thinking.
26 Aug 18:54
16,183 caps
think if you get an exact score everyone should get the full bonus point not divided by the number of players that get that exact score ...just a thought
26 Aug 19:07
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I am going to suggest the survey numbers are skewed. Not very scientific. Regardless, I never took part, and I don't like it. Like I commented in the main article, it takes away the fun in smaller pools. I am not going to repeat my lengthy explanation here again; I will just not take part again in rugby pools, nor would I captain another pool. I might even just delete my pool. In the Rugby Championship where there are only two games per round, it is tough as it is to create a bit of separation between yourself and the next player; the BP was an excellent way to do that. I even suggested a two tier system (of half point and a full point) but I guess they are not open to any suggestion at HQ.
26 Aug 23:46
ADMIN
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Hi Harry,

We have said we'll likely introduce a configurable option for 2017, and we certainly do listen to suggestions.

Let's see how this BP change actually affects things, because I do not believe it will have a huge impact.

Please drop us a line if you have any concerns.

Hutch 27 Aug 05:40
103,667 caps
@ Hutch, my point exactly. why change things if it will not have an impact. Already we have players complaining about the half point when you pick the losing team within 5. Why not take all the incentives away and only award the winning point like in sevens? I still maintain that the effect will only be apparent in pools 25 and less. For the record, I never got an option to vote on this..... 27 Aug 12:27
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Thanks, Hutch, where can I send in suggestions - don't necessarily want to do it at this forum. I still think we are trying to fix something that wasn't broken. 27 Aug 15:34
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An option for the captain to decide how the pool is run, is the go! He may choose no bonus point perhaps? An exact reflection on actual results and picks. Or perhaps choose to use the 15 point range system or just the closest gets the BP. Most of my pool members over the years have thought the bonus point skews the actual results too much and not reflect actual ability.
27 Aug 01:33
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The Survey popped up as soon as I went in the rugby to put in my predicitions..... was this popup only for certain brus or available to all?
27 Aug 06:30
ADMIN
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Yes it is a question on the pick confirmation page across all rugby tournaments, open to everyone playing any of those tournaments. 27 Aug 07:18
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You posted about "agenda" repeatedly, yet you don't talk what kind of agenda, what's' your evidence nor what's their rationale for it. The only agenda I see is about fairness.

You may not like it, but jumping straight to some idiotic conspiracy theories is frankly irrational. 27 Aug 18:14
41,774 caps
I did the survey after this thread was posted, and only found it after making my picks. How many votes does it take for the percentage to change? After I voted it was still the same and when my hubby voted hours later and we both choose the same option it was still 3% . . .therefore I feel this poll is not accurate.
27 Aug 07:28
ADMIN
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The survey results are currently at 13134 responses. So two additional result wouldn't have a massive impact overall in changing the percentage. The overall balance is still very close to the above results. For interest sake, the breakdown is currently at:

Love it! 5037 38.35%
I quite like it. 3395 25.85%
I don't mind either way. 2661 20.26%
I don't really like it. 606 4.61%
Hate it! 338 2.57%
I don't know 1097 8.35% 27 Aug 09:57
41,774 caps
Thank you for making it clear Dawid87 . Reason why I don't like the change . . . maybe I do make clueless, outrageous or whatever words were used to judge some people's choices but when my home team plays I do have High Hopes . . . 27 Aug 10:51
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Interesting @Dawid87. The way HQ is assessing the results make it skewed. If you want to evaluate it the way you do, then only have 3 choices: Love it / Hate it / Don't know 27 Aug 15:36
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And you're ignoring us " don't mind" why? Because we don't fit your narrative? 27 Aug 18:16
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No, because they add it to the "in favour" of in their tally of 85%, which is not entirely true 28 Aug 05:40
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How about the captain of the pool deciding if he wants limitations on the bonus point?? For the record, I never got an option to vote on this!
27 Aug 12:31
ADMIN
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That's exactly the plan OB, to make the BP cap configurable in your pool. 27 Aug 12:33
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Cheers, that is great news 27 Aug 13:44
11,121 caps
Whatever you do, you'll never satisfy everyone.
27 Aug 16:35
6,637 caps
Harry and OB, you guys just argue for the sake of it. When I went in to make my Championship picks, there the survey was, all over the screen. Impossible to miss, unless you don’t participate in that competition.
Besides that, and I say this with respect, anyone who achieved more than 26% for maths in school worked out a long time ago that it was an illogical rule. It’s just you and 8% of the other Bru’s that still don’t get it?
It’s very simple, pick the correct margin, it’s more fun that getting it wrong by 50 and still getting a BP.
28 Aug 08:04
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@Plettervatter: It's not that I just want to argue - I do believe I am also allowed to offer an opinion, and even a suggestion. I was disappointed that HQ implemented a change after "kick-off", so to speak, with no notification beforehand, and then do a survey afterwards, which I would think should have been done before the start.

I am not totally opposed to any changes but I do believe the BP had played an important role and added an interesting dimension over the last 10 years, and a lot of strategies had played out with the BP as an alley. Just to change it now, and without proper notice beforehand, just doesnt feel right to me.

And yes, I get that the numbers in favour of the change that you pointed out, is not necessarily supporting the status quo but I can tell you the players in my small pool of about 15 are all against the change. Why could my pool not play with the old rule if we wanted to, it doesn't influence you or the global leaderboards.

Furher, I suggested that they 28 Aug 13:51
ADMIN
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Harry, there was ample notification about the BP change before any affected matches took place. This change has been at the core of a lot of complaints received over the years where many Brus have explicitly requested some sort of BP range cap to encourage more accurate and realistic predictions in the long run, and so doing ensure that pick accuracy is rewarded appropriately.

We've spent many hours debating the BP structure internally and taking on board our user feedback over the years which directed the change of how the BP currently works. So it was certainly not just done on a whim.

After all the passionate feedback received (for both sides of the debate) on the initial BP change article we felt it would be appropriate to evaluate the general sentiment about the change. Hence why that was done retrospectively.

As stated by The General in the article above, we're certainly not discounting those users who don't seem to appreciate the revised BP system. All of our Brus are impo 28 Aug 17:20
9,348 caps
Wow, I feel like I am getting ganged on. @Dawid87 and @leeusebal (below): I have to concede the fact that it looks like my point of view is not the popular view and that the majority rules. However, I am going to use some of Dawid87's own arguments here in my response "Much of SuperBru is relative, not absolute. Your pick is not just a winner or a margin, it's both. And it's not a prediction in isolation: it's in the context of other picks in your pools". The core of SuperBru is happening in pools, not so much in the global and country leaderboards. Therefore, I believe within the pool context every match outcome should have a BP, like one person pointed out, the BP has been part of the arsenal of tactics, and played a role in the last ten years in players' strategies. Why not even consider my compromised suggestion: where the margin is too big (over the 15) why not at least offer a compromise of a half point? 28 Aug 19:43
ADMIN
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Sorry Harry, I see the most important part of my reply last night got cut off with the 1000 character limit. We agree that the core of SuperBru is in what's happening in a pool. That's how the game was initially designed after all. However, over time things have to evolve so that we can improve upon elements of the game which have been criticized by many users in the past.

We're not ignoring your preference to have a full BP in all matches irrespective of how accurate or inaccurate a pick was. I'll continue with what was meant to be the closing paragraph in my post above above...

As stated by The General in the article above, we're certainly not discounting those users who don't seem to appreciate the revised BP system. All of our Brus are important to us, and for that reason we're looking to accommodate everyone's preferences with more customization on the pool level. So in future you'll be able to edit your BP preferences and allow your pool to be run without a BP range cap. 29 Aug 06:46
ADMIN
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Your suggestion regarding a "compromise half point" has also been heard and acknowledged. We've discussed it internally but we need to do more analysis on the impact of something along those lines before we can implement anything like that. It also makes things somewhat more complicated to understand but we're still considering it. 29 Aug 06:48
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Dawid87, maybe just take the bonus point away altogether? I always though that luck plays to big a part in earning the BP? To me it's like an intercept try in rugby 29 Aug 07:42
ADMIN
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That's not really something we'd consider at this stage as it would hugely detract from the pool level competition as the core of the game. We might allow for that on a pool per pool basis in the upcoming configurable pool settings we're working on for 2017, but it would definitely not be a general game change. 29 Aug 09:40
6,637 caps
Harry, you point out above exactly what the problem was. There can't be a strategy or tactics involved in winning the BP. Everyone should just pick what they genuinely believe the margin will be. As soon as tactics and strategies are involved in earning the BP, red lights flicker. I’ve played in pools were you have 1 bru that often had the highest margin by 1 or 2. He's "strategy" was to have the highest margin in the pool and he could only ensure that by "cheating". There's no ways anyone can so constantly have the highest margin by 1? He always made his picks minutes before kick off and it was obvious that he had another member in the pool informing him of the highest margin pick just before the game started and he then picked 1 point more, ensuring he had the highest margin in the end. And it was scary how often he won the BP in those last 5 or 6 weeks of the SR competition in a pool of 26. That experience made me think that the 15 point cut off is even still to generous. I would li 29 Aug 13:15
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Cheez people.... It is only a game and it is suppose to be fun! Chillax Sigh. I've also send many suggested to admin (yes Dawid) over the years and to me it is not the end the world if not accepted. They are my opinions and necessary everyone else's cup tea! My only pet hate is the defaults and can live with rest.... 31 Aug 08:26
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David one of the options I've suggested a while back is that the pool captain should be able choose from a list of options what he would allow is in his pool. And that list could be endless eg. no BP or no defaults or full BP for spot on pick, etc. 31 Aug 08:33
ADMIN
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@Hagar, all those suggestions are definitely appreciated. User feedback is a large part of what shapes our future development plans. Not all suggestions may be viable as you've alluded to, but they do help to give some different perspectives on the state of the game and where improvements can be made.

More configurable pool settings is on our list of developments as The General has mentioned above. What exactly that will entail is still to be finalized. Obviously we don't want to cause too much user confusion between pools with different rules, so there's still a lot of consideration to be put into finding the right balance of configurable settings.

As for defaults, they can currently be disabled in an upgraded SuperPool for those pools preferring not to have defaults taken into consideration. 2 Sep 07:25
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Harry in all fairness I love superbru it's great opportunity to test your knowledge of sport if I make a pick in any game and im one point out i failed. Superbru like in rugby give u a margin of 5 and 15 for a bonus point it's more fun to get the margin right i work in a big company and many of us play superbru and we love this 15 point thing it give us bragging right so Harry just enjoy it cheers buddie hope u see this in a other light love to hear from u
28 Aug 18:13
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Thanks @leeusebal (I like this nickname, by the way): I do enjoy SuperBru and I like to have some fun, and yes, I do like the passion of being the winner in the pool which will give me that bragging rights you are referring to. I am just not convinced the change was necessary, that's why I am trying to advocate for a compromise, I am not totally against it, but I am trying to find a middle way while trying to understand the "other light". 28 Aug 19:48
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Makes much more sense. An example of when it didnt work was London Welsh in the Aviva Prem. You just had to try and be the highest in a pool to get the point and be nowhere near the result
1 Sep 09:29
ADMIN
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Thanks AndyG. It's exactly that kind of gaming of the system which the BP range cap tries to address. Picks should ideally be based on what ever you think the final result will be, and not simply picking the highest margin for a possible extra point. 2 Sep 07:30
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Hi all, I would just like to add my opinion. I think that this is an excellent idea. For example with the first All Blacks – Wallabies game, where New Zealand ran away with the game, I was lucky enough to have gone for the All Blacks with 19 (Which happened to be just inside the 15 point cap) and the rest of the players in my pool had gone for a closer game. I still feel that 15 points is too much, since the actual margin of 34 is 5 tries, or more than three scores away from what I had predicted. Is the point of the game then not to try and get spot on predictions?
2 Sep 07:28
3,603 caps
I still believe that it should be that the closest to the actual margin should be Rewarded, but only if you actually had a margin worth talking about… I also have a suggestion, rather than putting a 15 point margin, have a moving margin for example 30% of actual margin with a minimum of 5 point margin. This would mean that if Team A wins by 50 and you picked Team A by anywhere between 35 and 65, you would be eligible for the Bonus Point (Provided you are still the closest). But if Team a wins by 20, you would have had a pick between 14 and 26 to be eligible, as this is a much closer game. I do understand that this would make it more difficult for the players to follow whether or not they would get a bonus point but it can be easily programmed into the system and maybe the site can then add where the cutoffs of the Margin was for each game. 2 Sep 07:29
ADMIN
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Interesting that you mention that. We discussed a dynamic range cap when designing the new BP rules. It certainly would reflect the context of the match in question, but the extra rules make it more complex to understand.
The beauty of SuperBru is the ease of use and understanding the scoring system. e.g. While you're watching a match it's easy to do a quick calculation and know you're within 5 points of the result as it stands so you'll be earning some MP. If you know what the rest of your pool has picked you'll know when you're on track for the BP. The BP cap makes that calculation a little trickier while factoring in the 15 point range, but it's still easy to calculate. A dynamic BP cap would be more vague and you wouldn't clearly know when you're actually on for the BP while watching a game. We think that would be more frustrating than it's worth as you wouldn't have the same sense of excitement knowing that NZ need to score just one more awesome try to get you the MP and BP. 2 Sep 07:53
ADMIN
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The dynamic range is certainly a great idea and one we like, but the added complication to the scoring system isn't necessarily ideal as it could potentially detract from the enjoyment of the game for many users. So we decided against that kind of concept intentionally. 2 Sep 07:54
ADMIN
99,032 caps
To touch on your comment regarding the 15 point range. I get what you're saying about it being lenient. It may seem like a generous range but it's consistent with the pick averages. We analyzed some historical picks when deriving the BP range. The 15 point range is on par with the average range from the final result in most matches. Yes, at it's extreme 15 points is 3 scores from a final result in rugby (with standard scoring, not considering modified scoring rules in other tournaments) but that's still a tough range to predict. A smaller range would give more reward to very accurate picks, but we felt that anything smaller than 15 would be incredibly difficult for users to consistently earn BP. The 15 point range is still achievable and we don't want to make it an unattainable entity with a very tight range for the general scoring system.

That said, we could look at having configurable ranges within a pool at the captain's discretion. It's something worth considering. 2 Sep 08:13
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Yes I also thought that it would make it more difficult for the players to keep track of their scores during the game... I just thought it could maybe work. but don't get me wrong, I really do like the fact that there is a cap on the bonus points... Like I said, I feel the point of the game is to get as close to the actual margin as possible not just to get the highest margin in your pool and hope for a runaway game, thanks for your response. Keep on improving the Superbru experience as I enjoy the game a lot. 2 Sep 11:40
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Great idea, I like BUT how about giving every BP winner the full one point instead of sharing
4 Sep 06:44
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No Ben, don't agree.. It's good as it's now 9 Sep 12:21
34,089 caps
Now please remove the default points for the non pickers. No pick no point at all!!
17 Sep 12:26
14,518 caps
Agree with Beer. Remove all default points. When it comes to sevens,some of us stay awake to make our knockout picks,just to find the non-pickers getting default points. Not fair!!!!
17 Oct 00:01