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The Superbru Herald - Superbru News

Premier League: Final round permutations

The 2023/24 Premier League season comes to an end this Sunday. After 37 rounds, there's still a lot to play for, particularly at the top of the table, so we'll each have to pay attention to plenty of different games at the same time on Sunday with all matches taking place simultaneously from 4pm UK time.

To help you out with your final predictions of this season's Premier League Predictor on Superbru, here are the permutations in each of the key areas of the table which is shown below.



Title race

Manchester City's crucial win away at Tottenham on Tuesday means they are in the driving seat for this final round. Pep Guardiola's team are looking to win an unprecedented fourth consecutive Premier League title, which they will do if they defeat West Ham at home.

At the Emirates, Arsenal need to beat Everton to ensure they are able to capitalise on any mistakes from City as the Gunners hope to win their first league title for 20 years. Arsenal's goal difference is superior to City's, meaning if West Ham can manage a draw at the Etihad, Arsenal will win the league on goal difference with a win over Everton.

Champions League places

The other consequence of City's win at Tottenham on Tuesday is that the Champions League spots are confirmed in advance of Round 38. Aston Villa, who won the European Cup in 1982, have sealed a place in Europe's top tier competition for the first time in the Champions League era. They will join Manchester City, Arsenal and Liverpool as England's participants in the 2024/25 Champions League which will adopt a revamped format that guarantees Villa 8 group stage games.

Europa League and Europe Conference League places

There's still plenty to play for in this area of the table, and we actually won't know exactly which team is playing in which UEFA competition next season until the FA Cup Final has taken place on Saturday 25th May.

5th place in the Premier League is a guaranteed Europa League spot, which Tottenham haven't yet quite secured as if they lose at Sheffield United on Sunday and Chelsea defeat Bournemouth, the Blues will jump ahead of Spurs at the last.

After much improved form in the last couple of months, Chelsea are now looking likely to finish at least 6th following their win at Brighton on Wednesday, but if they are beaten by Bournemouth then Newcastle United could claim that place back if they win at Brentford.

6th place is guaranteed European football, but the FA Cup Final will determine whether it's a Europa League place or a spot in the Europa Conference League.

England's second Europa League spot is initially awarded to the winners of the FA Cup. This means that Manchester United's opportunity to earn the place is through that competition as they face City at Wembley next week and have no realistic chance of finishing 6th in the Premier League due to their goal difference. If City win the FA Cup, 6th place will receive the Europa League place because City are already in the Champions League.

As a result, fighting for 7th place this Sunday is worthwhile for both Newcastle and Manchester United as that will result in Europa Conference League football next season if City win the FA Cup.

Relegation battle

'Battle' is probably the wrong word to use in this heading because this fight is already over. Luton's goal difference means they need a miracle on the final day. We're set to see all three newly promoted teams immediately return to the Championship with both Everton and Nottingham Forest managing to survive despite each receiving points deductions this season for breaching the Premier League's Profit and Sustainability rules.
94,512 caps
Wow 🥺
16 May 13:06
760 caps
One emoji to describe the Premier league
16 May 13:48
21,034 caps
Arsenal lost the title when they played for the draw at City. Will West Ham spoil the party?
16 May 13:58
ADMIN
52,320 caps
It did always feel like Arsenal needed to win at the Etihad by that point, but a draw is a good result there! If City win this Sunday then I think Arsenal ultimately lost the title during their poor run of form in December - which included a home defeat to West Ham... 16 May 14:06
34,876 caps
If Arsenal lose the PL it"s the Aston Villa games which cost us. 16 May 16:59
760 caps
I agree
16 May 15:45
760 caps
Once it hits march man city just win win win
16 May 15:45
33,500 caps
Didn't West Ham cock up Man U's title bid in Wk 38? They could only draw then Aguerooooooo! scored THAT late goal for City back in 2012, tied on 89 points but 8 better GD. So wouldn't it be ironic if West Ham had another say in deciding the EPL? Unlikely I know but Bowen, Kudus, Antonio & J W-P under no pressure.
16 May 16:17
34,876 caps
Jersey-pud-puller, yes! 16 May 16:38
1,749 cap
Was at Upton Park though. City always dominate west ham at home
16 May 17:51
760 caps
This is all down to that controversial goal by Newcastle v arsenal and Aston villa's goal v arsenal
17 May 07:08
51 caps
Sad times 🥺
2 Jun 19:13