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The Superbru Herald - Superbru News

Jack's Round 8 Premier League Predictions

There are some tough picks, but I'm excited for this weekend's Premier League round as there are a lot of significant matches.

Chelsea vs. Tottenham is always great because of the rivalry between the two and then Sunday has a strong lineup in the 2pm slot.

Here's my usual weekly piece giving some opinion on the weekend ahead.

For proper individual match previews for all 10 games, upgrade to Superbru Premium so you can read those previews that I put together either here or on the picks pages as you predict.

Last round

👏 | 12 points which is my best so far this season, though I know plenty of you managed more in what was a fairly predictable round for a change! I only had the 1 Exact for Arsenal at Forest but 7/10 overall thanks to the Fulham and Villa wins.



Round 8

I think Nottingham Forest are the more likely to win tonight's opener and I very nearly picked them, but they haven't been great at taking their chances under Glasner whereas Ipswich have been quite good in that regard.

I'm then prepared to be annoyed with myself after the Saturday lunchtime game because I had Aston Villa to win initially. They always do well in this fixture, but something about their home league form so far and City's perfect, defiant streak of PL results thus far just has me playing safe.

For the rest of Saturday's games, both Everton and Tottenham have to be considered underdogs, but Coventry vs. Fulham is tough to call.

Fulham were really good last week and fully deserved that first win of the season. Can they replicate that kind of performance away at Coventry though? I have some doubts. I think they'll be the better side but the hosts might manage a point.



All of Sunday's predictions are tough in my opinion. I'm backing Hull for a point based on Brentford's team news as outlined in the Insights preview, and then I'm calling away wins and backing recent performances over size of club for the matches at Anfield and Old Trafford!

I'm not sure much needs to be said about Manchester United because we've just been here so many times over the past decade. When that's the case, it's obvious the issue is those that own and run the club, but that won't save Michael Carrick if Sunday goes the way I'm predicting. They were awful at Como.

Liverpool obviously may well beat Brighton, but it's the Seagulls performances that feel far more sustainable.

Finally, a draw at the Stadium of Light. I was going for Leeds but it sounds as if Brian Brobbey might be back for Sunderland and he has been sorely, sorely missed.

Storylines to watch in Round 8

For those that, like me, love a bit of a narrative:

🔙 Liam Delap back at Portman Road
I mentioned earlier that Forest are missing big chances and Liam Delap has been very culpable. At Ipswich, they still remember him very fondly (far more so than at Chelsea), so will he thrive on a ground he loves?

🥊 Battle of the Bridge 2.0?
Chelsea vs. Tottenham rarely disappoints and we should be set for a proper derby with a storm hitting the UK this weekend. As it stands, heavy rain is forecast throughout this match which should make things even more fun.

💰 The sack race continues
There'll be lots of managers losing their jobs during the next international break in November across Europe, but will some go even before that? Everyone's understandably talking about Michael Carrick but I think Pierre Sage might be one more bad defeat away from trouble too.

Best of luck in Round 8!
12,075 caps
Thanks for the preview Jack I always enjoy and appreciate the previews. I agree with most of your picks except 2 of your draws. I think Coventry and Brentford will win their matches. I don't know why but I just have a feeling about those 2 matches. Good luck this weekend with all your picks.
23 Oct 14:35
ADMIN
69,111 caps
Cheers Marko, best of luck to you too! 23 Oct 14:53
3,559 caps
cov will draw imo. i know them too well ;) 23 Oct 15:09
12,075 caps
Good pick for Ipswich vs Nottingham Jack. Its nice to start the round with an exact.
23 Oct 22:11
3,559 caps
Think palace game is draw, brentford win and pool will win 1st home game.
23 Oct 15:08
12,270 caps
I am not covinced by Newcastle either. Only thing I will say is playing away from home they can maybe play on the counter more, which they seem to prefer. 23 Oct 16:08
12,270 caps
Agree with most of them. Fleeto and Marko add some good insight too, though - think I will probably go 1-1 in the Coventry game.
23 Oct 16:07
12,270 caps
Marko makes a good point on Coventry potentially winning, though. Fleeto can maybe correct me as he will have watched more of them than me, but it feels like they've created tons of good chances this season but only recently started taking them. If that's true and they continue to create chances it bodes very well for them. The problem is smaller clubs often do miss the good chances.
23 Oct 16:22
12,270 caps
Here's what I am on right now - I think I maybe have too many away wins and not enough home

https://postimg.cc/DWkw5YbJ
23 Oct 16:33
12,075 caps
Don't over think your picks Dave. I am doing that right now with a few of the matches, but I am going to quit now and just go with what I originally picked. 23 Oct 16:54
12,270 caps
Thanks mate, true. Yeah I go by a 'what do I think this scoreline will be' individual game basis rather than look at it and think 'do I have enough draws (draw quota) or home wins?' The latter wouldn't work for me and the former always has, so no need to alter it. 23 Oct 17:23
12,075 caps
I have always look at each match individually and I have never put much in having so many draws per round of home win etc.. It just makes more sense to me that each match unique. I don't follow patterns like you said. 23 Oct 19:42
12,270 caps
'👏 | 12 points which is my best so far this season, though I know plenty of you managed more in what was a fairly predictable round for a change! I only had the 1 Exact for Arsenal at Forest but 7/10 overall thanks to the Fulham and Villa wins.'

The average was actually 5.93, so more or less 6, so 7 is even better than you think, even if some did better. I got 6 myself (punt on Everton against Chelsea and backing Brentford against Liverpool messed me up really) but got 12 too, so I probably had more exacts or something, have to look at it.

Either way, I got green arrows, so 12 was a very good score last week. Even if some did even better. So you should be delighted with that 7/10 as a 5.93 average isn't overly predictable.
23 Oct 16:54
12,270 caps
Yeah I got two exacts, two closes, two results, and a slam point. That's how I was abl to get same point as you Jack, despite one fewer correct outcome.

I always find that interesting - more consistent outcomes vs more exacts to compensate. The former is obviously more sustainable. 23 Oct 16:56
12,270 caps
Just something to bear in mind as I haven't seen it mentioned though it will be in stats area.

It depends how much stock you put in things like this. However, Bournemouth have won 0-3 at Old Trafford in two of the last three seasons, and last season was a 4-4 draw they really should have won. They tend to do well against them at the Vitality too. I believe they're unbeaten in something like 6 games against United, though I'd have to verify that stat. That Old Trafford last three seasons is definitely correct, though.

You might argue Bournemouth aren't quite as good at the moment, as they were under Iraola, but United are in turmoil so it balances out. Plus, I think the Cherries at the start of the season were playing better than their points total suggested, and now they're starting to get results they deserve. So something to think about for that fixture.
23 Oct 17:13
12,270 caps
Also, I would really like to watch Liverpool v Brighton and Man United v Bournemouth but they clash. Both Sunday 1400 kick offs. Typical.
23 Oct 17:20
12,270 caps
Locked my pick and got a differential tonight - Alaves 1-1 Malaga. Split is 78 percent Alaves, 17 percent draw, 4 percent Malaga (with the extra percent obviously being decimal point stuff).
23 Oct 18:47
12,270 caps
The thing is, Malaga haven't won any of their 9 league games, and Alaves haven't won in the last five. A draw seemed a good shout to me. I was surprised at the community stats - thought a 65, 25, 10 (or 30, 5) split might have been more likely. 23 Oct 18:54
12,075 caps
Good call on the draw for Alaves vs Malaga
Dave. I should have taken your advice on this one. 23 Oct 22:27
12,270 caps
Thanks man, Yeah was a good shout, could easily have been 2-1 either way though, Four greens from 6 tonight including two exacts.

I am just back from seeing Clayface - a late night jaunt to the cinema, back for 11.50 pm. Good body horror based on the Batman villain character. I enjoyed it. 23 Oct 23:08
12,075 caps
I have been wanting to see that movie. I am not really into horror movies, but I love movies about comic book characters. Especially the villains. Have you seen the series HBO series The Penguin staring Colin Farrell. I really like this show and Colin does a great job as the Penguin. Check it out of you haven't already watch it. 24 Oct 03:18