
Home & Away: Which Super Rugby sides hate to travel?
As a general sporting rule, it is true that most teams have a better record at their home ground. The support of their home fans, the use of their own changing rooms, being able to sleep in their own beds the night before... all these little things, and more, add up to give an intangible advantage to the home side.
When writing some predictions for the upcoming weekend of Super Rugby, I found myself stumbling over the Bulls vs Sharks game. The Sharks are in fine form, but the Bulls are a fearsome proposition at Loftus. The Sharks, in fact, haven't won there since 2011.
So I turned to The General, a Durbanite and committed Sharks fan, and asked: "Why don't the Sharks like playing at Loftus?".
"I can't imagine anybody likes playing at Loftus, except the Bulls," came the reply. A fair point, but it got us to thinking - what is the Bulls' winning percentage at home in recent times? Everyone thinks they have an aura there, but is it actually backed up by fact? Are they the best team at home in the competition?
So we trawled back through the last four years' worth of Super Rugby data (the expansion to Super 15 in 2012 seemed like a natural cut-off point) and crunched the numbers.
As you can see in the table above, the Bulls are indeed a formidable force at home, winning 79% of their home games in the last four years. But perhaps surprisingly, Newlands is even more of a fortress than Loftus, with the Stormers registering a hugely impressive 80% win rate there.
As you would expect, it's the perennial Super Rugby strugglers that are found at the other end of the spectrum - the Kings, Force, Cheetahs, Rebels and Blues all losing more games at home than they have won.
Unsurprisingly, win percentages away from home are much lower. Just four teams in the last four years have managed an away win percentage of over 50%: the Chiefs, Hurricanes, Crusaders and Brumbies. Perhaps surprisingly, the Blues have the lowest win percentage away from home (15%), after just 6 wins on the road in 41 attempts.
This is the real quiz. By looking at which teams have the greatest disparity in home and away win percentages, we can gauge which sides rely on being at home more than others. And indeed, top (or rather, bottom) of the pile we find the Bulls - away from Loftus Versfeld, they are a full 45% less likely to win than at home.
To be honest, it will surprise few that four South African sides have the biggest disparity between home and away wins - they are all pretty difficult to beat on their home patch, while none of them are famous for travelling well.
The Hurricanes, however, are the picture of consistency, with just a 6% difference between their number of wins home and away. That number blows every other top side out of the water, with the Brumbies coming in next at 18%.
So there you have it - the South African sides aren't very good on the road, the Hurricanes are immensely consistent and the Kings are just a bit rubbish everywhere. But then you probably knew all that already, didn't you?
When writing some predictions for the upcoming weekend of Super Rugby, I found myself stumbling over the Bulls vs Sharks game. The Sharks are in fine form, but the Bulls are a fearsome proposition at Loftus. The Sharks, in fact, haven't won there since 2011.
So I turned to The General, a Durbanite and committed Sharks fan, and asked: "Why don't the Sharks like playing at Loftus?".
"I can't imagine anybody likes playing at Loftus, except the Bulls," came the reply. A fair point, but it got us to thinking - what is the Bulls' winning percentage at home in recent times? Everyone thinks they have an aura there, but is it actually backed up by fact? Are they the best team at home in the competition?
So we trawled back through the last four years' worth of Super Rugby data (the expansion to Super 15 in 2012 seemed like a natural cut-off point) and crunched the numbers.
Home Wins
| Team | Wins | Games | Win% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stormers | 36 | 45 | 80% |
| Chiefs | 37 | 47 | 79% |
| Bulls | 33 | 42 | 79% |
| Sharks | 32 | 42 | 76% |
| Crusaders | 35 | 47 | 74% |
| Brumbies | 33 | 47 | 70% |
| Highlanders | 27 | 43 | 63% |
| Hurricanes | 26 | 42 | 62% |
| Lions | 26 | 43 | 60% |
| Waratahs | 27 | 45 | 60% |
| Reds | 25 | 44 | 57% |
| Blues | 19 | 42 | 45% |
| Rebels | 18 | 42 | 43% |
| Cheetahs | 17 | 42 | 40% |
| Force | 14 | 43 | 33% |
| Kings | 2 | 11 | 18% |
As you can see in the table above, the Bulls are indeed a formidable force at home, winning 79% of their home games in the last four years. But perhaps surprisingly, Newlands is even more of a fortress than Loftus, with the Stormers registering a hugely impressive 80% win rate there.
As you would expect, it's the perennial Super Rugby strugglers that are found at the other end of the spectrum - the Kings, Force, Cheetahs, Rebels and Blues all losing more games at home than they have won.
Away Wins
| Team | Wins | Games | Win% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs | 25 | 44 | 57% |
| Hurricanes | 24 | 43 | 56% |
| Crusaders | 23 | 44 | 52% |
| Brumbies | 24 | 46 | 52% |
| Stormers | 20 | 42 | 48% |
| Sharks | 22 | 51 | 43% |
| Highlanders | 18 | 44 | 41% |
| Reds | 16 | 43 | 37% |
| Waratahs | 15 | 41 | 37% |
| Bulls | 15 | 45 | 33% |
| Cheetahs | 13 | 43 | 30% |
| Lions | 8 | 36 | 22% |
| Force | 9 | 41 | 22% |
| Kings | 2 | 10 | 20% |
| Rebels | 8 | 42 | 19% |
| Blues | 6 | 41 | 15% |
Unsurprisingly, win percentages away from home are much lower. Just four teams in the last four years have managed an away win percentage of over 50%: the Chiefs, Hurricanes, Crusaders and Brumbies. Perhaps surprisingly, the Blues have the lowest win percentage away from home (15%), after just 6 wins on the road in 41 attempts.
Home vs Away
| Team | Home win % | Away win % | Disparity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bulls | 79% | 33% | 46% |
| Lions | 60% | 22% | 38% |
| Sharks | 76% | 43% | 33% |
| Stormers | 80 | 48% | 32% |
| Blues | 45% | 15% | 30% |
| Rebels | 43% | 19% | 24% |
| Waratahs | 60% | 37% | 23% |
| Crusaders | 74% | 52% | 22% |
| Chiefs | 79% | 57% | 22% |
| Highlanders | 63% | 41% | 22% |
| Reds | 57% | 37% | 20% |
| Brumbies | 70% | 52% | 18% |
| Force | 33% | 22% | 11% |
| Cheetahs | 40% | 30% | 10% |
| Hurricanes | 62% | 56% | 6% |
| Kings | 18% | 20% | -2% |
This is the real quiz. By looking at which teams have the greatest disparity in home and away win percentages, we can gauge which sides rely on being at home more than others. And indeed, top (or rather, bottom) of the pile we find the Bulls - away from Loftus Versfeld, they are a full 45% less likely to win than at home.
To be honest, it will surprise few that four South African sides have the biggest disparity between home and away wins - they are all pretty difficult to beat on their home patch, while none of them are famous for travelling well.
The Hurricanes, however, are the picture of consistency, with just a 6% difference between their number of wins home and away. That number blows every other top side out of the water, with the Brumbies coming in next at 18%.
So there you have it - the South African sides aren't very good on the road, the Hurricanes are immensely consistent and the Kings are just a bit rubbish everywhere. But then you probably knew all that already, didn't you?


The PRO12 has an interesting take on it - the country of the away team provides the referee, while the assistants come from the home country. E.g. when Edinburgh host Cardiff, the referee is Welsh. Perhaps this is a good way of doing it? 17 Mar 09:22