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The Superbru Herald - Superbru News

2026 World Cup Predictor: Day 14

Day 13 of the World Cup wasn't a classic, but there were still some standout performances as Portugal bounced back in style and Ghana put in a fantastic defensive display against England.

Now, we're into the final group stage round. As it stands, only 4 of the Round of 32 spots have been confirmed with group winners, so there's a lot to be decided.

Here's your overview of yesterday, and a look ahead to today's Day 14 action. For detail on the all-important permutations in each group for this final round, upgrade to Superbru Premium to gain access to our match previews which are visible on the predictions pages.

🇵🇹 Portugal 5-0 Uzbekistan 🇺🇿

Outcome predicted by 98% of users | Scoreline predicted by 1.8% of users

This was the response that Portugal needed after such a poor display in Round 1. Uzbekistan offered little, but they were blown away pretty early on in this game as Portugal's difference makers at the top end of the pitch turned up.

Credit to Ronaldo for getting his goals having been absolutely pelted by everyone for his display against DRC - criticism that clearly got to him as I'm not sure why else you'd shout 'I'm back' down a camera after a brace against Uzbekistan. But he's certainly a player that thrives when he feels the world is against him and I'm fascinated to see how he and Portugal go against Colombia in the Round 3 match that will determine who wins Group K.



🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England 0-0 Ghana 🇬🇭

Outcome predicted by 4% of users | Scoreline predicted by 0.1% of users

A huge upset and a fantastic defensive performance from Ghana. Questions will be asked of England, and Harry Kane obviously should have scored that glorious chance late on, but Ghana were absolutely exceptional in terms of their discipline and the sheer desire to throw themselves in front of so many shots.

Like most, I'm also puzzled as to why Ghana weren't given a penalty for that bizarre challenge by Ezri Konsa. It's very odd that the referee and VAR seemed to spend no real time on the incident whatsoever and England can count themselves lucky to have even managed a point in that respect. As it is, they remain in control of Group L and will progress as winners should they beat Panama.

🇵🇦 Panama 0-1 Croatia 🇭🇷

Outcome predicted by 91% of users | Scoreline predicted by 8.2% of users

We did at least end up with 1 goal in Group L yesterday thanks to Ante Budimir, but this was a pretty poor game that went about as expected with Croatia finding a goal (admittedly I predicted they'd get 2) while largely keeping Panama at arm's length.

It means Panama are now out of the World Cup, while Croatia are on track to progress but face a final match against Ghana which now looks more difficult than it did a couple of days ago. Though it'll likely be low scoring again, we could have a pretty tense conclusion to Group L.

🇨🇴 Colombia 1-0 Congo DR 🇨🇩

Outcome predicted by 78% of users | Scoreline predicted by 8.3% of users

First of all, this just looked and felt like a proper World Cup game. The crowd packed out in yellow with so much Colombia support was awesome. DRC fought hard once again, but Colombia ultimately deserved the win they gained through a rather fortunate winner.

Daniel Munoz was again on the scoresheet but his effort was deflected to completely wrong-foot goalkeeper Lionel Mpasi-Nzau. Munoz was excellent throughout the game though and will continue to be a real problem for opponents overlapping James Rodriguez down that right side. Another player Crystal Palace may struggle to hold on to this summer?



Today

The final group stage round begins. There's always drama, though it has been somewhat reduced this year by FIFA making the poor decision to have head-to-head as the initial tie-breaker rather than goal difference.

With matches being played simultaneously in each group, we're up to 6 games a day rather than 4 so points will be going up quickly in Predictor leagues!

Today's schedule:
  • 🇧🇦 Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar 🇶🇦 (Group B) | Kick-off 12:00 local, 20:00 UK, 21:00 CET/CAT
  • 🇨🇭 Switzerland vs. Canada 🇨🇦 (Group B) | Kick-off 12:00 local, 20:00 UK, 21:00 CET/CAT
  • 🇲🇦 Morocco vs. Haiti 🇭🇹 (Group C) | Kick-off 18:00 local, 23:00 UK, 00:00 CET/CAT
  • 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scotland vs. Brazil 🇧🇷 (Group C) | Kick-off 18:00 local, 23:00 UK, 00:00 CET/CAT
  • 🇨🇿 Czechia vs. Mexico 🇲🇽 (Group A) | Kick-off 19:00 local, 02:00 UK, 03:00 CET/CAT
  • 🇿🇦 South Africa vs. South Korea 🇰🇷 (Group A) | Kick-off 19:00 local, 02:00 UK, 03:00 CET/CAT
Until Monday, we now have a decision to make in each kick-off slot as to which match we should watch. Today, the answer is Switzerland vs. Canada, then Scotland vs. Brazil, then the 'South derby' between Africa and Korea.

Personally, I think Canada will have enough to win Group B, though I'm torn between a draw and a win for them. Brazil and Morocco should win, but I really hope Scotland at least give Brazil a game in such a standout fixture for their supporters, and then it's hard to see upsets in Group A.

Group A probably is the one with the most room for some jeopardy though, as if one of Czechia or South Africa can get themselves in front, the table in that group could be moving around a fair bit.

For match previews for each game (and all others in the tournament), upgrade to Superbru Premium.

Best of luck to you all in this final group stage round. Make sure you remind the rest of your leagues to make their Round 3 predictions too!
11,622 caps
Good write up. Nice work Jack mate

As for the games to watch, I think I will choose Czechia - Mexico myself in that group. If I am still awake at 2am.

Here's my predictions. Admittedly they're similar to the insights, but I picked most before reading insights. The previews are logical which is likely why I seem to have similar picks sometimes.

Bosnia 2-0 Qatar
Switzerland 2-1 Canada
Morocco 3-0 Haiti
Scotland 0-3 Brazil
Czechia 0-2 Mexico
South Africa 0-2 South Korea

Maybe I have given Brazil and Morocco too many goals. Morocco aren't always a high-scoring team. But I have been deeply unimpressed with Scotland in this tournament and think Brazil will easily beat us, even if not a vintage Brazil side. Ironically 3 points and -3 GD might still be enough to make the round of 32 as a top 8 third place team.

I think the Koreans and Mexicans will do the business, though there is the wrinkle of Mexico already being top and maybe resting players. I think they'll wanna maintain momentum, t
24 Jun 09:33
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czechs will score and could get a result if mexico rest players. a draw there is certainly possible. 24 Jun 09:37
11,622 caps
Yeah I agree they could, I am unsure of course. I might change to 2-1.

As I say, I think Mexico will want to keep momentum going rather than go into round of 32 game with a loss. |But we'll see. I agree the Czechs could score, especially with set piece quality. 24 Jun 09:38
11,622 caps
What do you think for the big game between the Swiss and Canada, Fleeto? 24 Jun 09:39
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The other thing is the Czechs need to win to progress, they need 4 points, not 2, so maybe the Mexicans can exploit that and hit them on transition late in the game if it's level. Who knows. 24 Jun 09:41
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Switzerland Canada may end in a draw. Very likely 24 Jun 09:45
11,622 caps
True, Matteo. Issue is Switzerland have nothing to lose by going for the win, as I said. They're not gonna realistically drop to third unless Canada hammer them and Qatar hammer Bosnia. Never gonna happen. 24 Jun 09:48
3,315 caps
swiss to win 2-1 prob 24 Jun 09:53
104 caps
May play Brazil Scotland - 2-1 , Scotland can score. Also on Mexic 2-1 24 Jun 09:54
11,622 caps
Hopefully Scotland can get a one goal defeat, Cristian. I hope you are right. 24 Jun 09:56
11,622 caps
Yeah I think so, Fleeto.

This will likely be a highly volatile round with the simultaneous kick-offs and compressed schedule and third place permutations. Probably like how the final round of the Premier League results in lower Superbru scores as all games take place at once. 24 Jun 09:58
11,622 caps
Bosnia should be able to defeat Qatar - Qatar were fortunate to get the point they did vs Swiss and Canada obliterated them.

The really interesting one is Swiss v Canadians - Canada will want to top the group so they stay in Canada for next two rounds til QF (when the tournament moves fully to USA) if they get through the round of 32 to the round of 16. I don't think Canada are really a bus parking team, certainly not on home soil v Switzerland, but they only need a draw to top the group. Will they play more conservatively? And, equally, given the goal difference (and identical H2H over Qatar and superior over Bosnia), even if Qatar win, the Swiss won't finish third. So they might as well go for it and try to take first rather than second. I will give them the benefit of the doubt for now though I am unsure about going against Canada in Canada.

Best of luck to everybody.
24 Jun 09:35
10,444 caps
@ jack barton. i would have very much loved to see how those guys who are competing for the £2500 are doing even if i am not one of the players competing for the money.
24 Jun 09:44
ADMIN
67,650 caps
Hi Mate, yes we haven't forgotten. It just involves updating things so that people can view the Superbru 48 leaderboard without playing in the league. So far, 'germurphy' from Ireland won the Yellow Cap prize in Round 1 and 'Jahiegel' from the US just won the Yellow Cap in Round 2. However, the current overall leader is 'Jamizzle' from the UK on 54.5pts. 24 Jun 09:49
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The leader is Jamizzle with 54.5 points 24 Jun 09:49
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2nd See men dribble 53, 3rd Gus 53 points 24 Jun 09:49
11,622 caps
Same points as me. 24 Jun 09:49
10,444 caps
i am sure i will now watch the remaining games left in the tournament because there will no longer be this very hectic schedule of having to watch four world cup games in a day. watching two or three world cup games per day is very manageable for me.
24 Jun 09:46
11,622 caps
Yeah gonna be easier with 2 or 3 games. 24 Jun 09:47
11,622 caps
Global leader has 12 exacts, 13 closes, 10 results and 13 wrongs. 65.5 points.
24 Jun 10:20
1,340 cap
Hi guys, I just need this to stay 2-0 to Brazil but I can't see that happening unfortunately 🙈
24 Jun 22:54
11,622 caps
Unlucky man, that's always the issue if you predict 2 goals to a team and they get two goals by half-time. Less likely they won't score another in the second half. 25 Jun 00:02
11,622 caps
Pretty class night for me. I got exacts for Switzerland and Brazil, a close for Bosnia, and a result for Morocco. I doubt many people will get even a close for Morocco and very few will get an exact. I don't think many predicted 3-1 Bosnia either, so pretty decent.
25 Jun 00:03
3,315 caps
Got exact for swiss, close for bosnia, morocco and brazil. result for mexico and doubt many said south africa to win. was contemplating going with them though... 25 Jun 09:46
11,622 caps
Yeah you did well man. As you implied above the difference between a close and exact is often luck - we read the game right, just a goal here or there.

Yeah I don't think many predicted South Africa to win, On the other hand, it is a South African site, so there will likely be more backing of them here than anywhere else due to patriotic bias. I wil have to look at the pick stats. 25 Jun 11:16
11,622 caps
Just looked, 11 percent backed them. A decent amount and it will have helped those players' rank a lot, but still not anything disastrous for the rest of us. 25 Jun 11:17
11,622 caps
And unlucky considering you were thinking of going with them - sometimes we do wanna back an 'underdog', but the pull of the higher ranked side and the potential ranking drop if the fancied teams wins means we cannot go through with it ultimately. 25 Jun 11:19
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I was 1 of the lucky ones who got 3 exact with Czechia and Mexico - 0-3, thanks Deva for all your insight on the games. 25 Jun 17:23
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Sorry @Dave 25 Jun 17:23
11,622 caps
Hi Cherie. No problem, you're welcome. And congrats on your exact for Mexico, and three exacts in total yesterday - excellent work 25 Jun 19:07
11,622 caps
As for the games, we were shocking as predicted. McTominay is not a midfielder, I have never been a fan of his at all - he loses the ball constantly and cannot play pass and move. He's just a box crasher. Even tonight he got on the end of two chances but fluffed them both.

The rest of them were poor too and the mistakes for the goals were unforgivable. But McTominay gets talked up so much (unjustifiably in my view) and was dreadful in all three games.
25 Jun 00:05
11,622 caps
3 points and -3 goal difference might be enough to get through, but hope not as we don't deserve it. Apparently Opta calculate it at 42 percent likelihood. 25 Jun 00:06
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The likelihood Is 24.83% . 25 Jun 07:04
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https://theanalyst.com/competition/fifa-world-cup/predictions 42 % was the likelihood before the tournament started. Taking into account the current standings, the probability is lower 25 Jun 07:05
11,622 caps
Ah right, was just repeating what the commentator said before South Africa won. I knew it sounded suspect.

We don't deserve it anyway 25 Jun 08:09
3,315 caps
Can't see them getting through unfortunately. 25 Jun 09:47
11,622 caps
Aye man, I looked at the permutations and there's a chance, but it's really four specific groups that have to go our way. Any of them don't and it's highly likely we won't make it. That South Africa goal and win last night has meant S Korea have a better third place record than us (a draw would have had S Africa third with two points) and Bosnia do too. Looking very unlikely.

For the best anyway rather than get a hammering against Germany or Mexico 25 Jun 09:55
11,622 caps
Mexico ruining my exact in 95th minute.
25 Jun 08:10
3,315 caps
This has happened to me about 457 times already lol 25 Jun 09:47
11,622 caps
Yeah man it is so annoying lol. Sorry it keeps happening to you lol. 25 Jun 11:11
3,315 caps
;P 25 Jun 11:49
107 caps
Had a good day yesterday with 2 perfect scores get in 😍

Top 3 now on my debut tournament need to keep grounded though as it can all change.

South Africa winning that was a surprise 😮

Love football ⚽️
25 Jun 09:03
11,622 caps
Well done, you are doing very well. I nearly had three exacts but Mexico ruined it for me in last minute. 25 Jun 09:07
107 caps
Guys I need a profile picture how can you change this? Sorry new to this
25 Jun 09:03
11,622 caps
For the superbru football app, click the three black lines in top right, then settings, then photo, then choose from gallery (your phone's photos) or use camera, then you upload from there, 25 Jun 09:10
10,193 caps
Like your write ups Dave very helpful can i ask whats you preditions for friday i had a bad wednesday
25 Jun 10:01
11,622 caps
Thanks mate, you are welcome, glad you enjoy. I just like writing about football.

I assume you are ahead of me then as it's Thursday here and by Friday you mean tonight into Friday UK time. Here's what I have mate. I am not sure on some of them (for example Germany are dodgy defensively and I think Ecuador can score, but then Ecuador don't score many either and were profligate v Curacao) but I am not gonna change as sticking to scores yesterday served me well.

Curacao 0-2 Ivory Coast
Ecuador 0-2 Germany
Japan 2-1 Sweden
Tunisia 0-4 Netherlands
Paraguay 1-1 Australia
Turkey 0-2 USA


25 Jun 10:20
3,315 caps
ecuador 0 goals so far. prob nick one imo 25 Jun 11:49
11,622 caps
yeah might do fleeto, considering giving them a goal. As I say, Germany aren't exactly prime Italy defensively. 25 Jun 14:32
11,622 caps
There's another interesting psychological quirk I wanted to mention, and maybe Jack and Hutch see this too in Superbru data.

Because of left-right bias for most people, even in a neutral tournament like this, predicting 0-2 rather than 2-0 feels unnatural, even when the team on the right is much stronger and - as I say - it's on neutral ground anyway. It almost feels like a league competition where you are backing the away team,

It even amusingly works when the designated 'away team' is one of the hosts. For example, the top seeds are all designated away teams in this round, so Mexico last night and USA (both of who I backed; I went for Swiss v Canada) have a massive crowd behind them, but it still feels weird writing '0-2' rather than '2-0'.

Just curious if anyone else notices this?
25 Jun 10:23
10,193 caps
Thanks Dave bit worried about the japan game like the rest
25 Jun 10:33
11,622 caps
You're welcome.

Yeah me too. I wouldn't be that surprised if Sweden got something. But the odds are backing Japan and I thought before the tournament they're a better team than Sweden too. It might blow up in our faces but that's tournament football. 25 Jun 10:50
174 caps
Honestly you guys are teaching me so much, love reading your comments
25 Jun 19:21
11,622 caps
Glad you're enjoying the discussion, Lezette. You should get involved too - the more the merrier 25 Jun 19:29
100 caps
Hi Dave, any predictions for tonight's matches
26 Jun 16:52
11,622 caps
Hi Cherie. put them in today's article further up. 26 Jun 17:33