Super Rugby Round Eighteen Predictions!
Round 17 last weekend was a disappointment, with my 4 correct picks out of 7 falling short of the community average, resulting in red arrows. The Waratahs let me down in particular, losing at home to the Brumbies and they've now given up on the playoffs.
It's the final round of matches this weekend, with several places in the knockout stages still up for grabs. Here are my Super Rugby predictions for Round 18.
Congratulations to Henk Pretorius from South Africa who had the Yellow Cap in my 'Challenge Hutch' pool last weekend. Henk had 6/7 in Round 17, only missing the draw between the Highlanders and the Bulls.
Here are my predictions for Round 18:
Follow Superbru on Twitter: @Superbru for regular info and updates.
It's the final round of matches this weekend, with several places in the knockout stages still up for grabs. Here are my Super Rugby predictions for Round 18.
Congratulations to Henk Pretorius from South Africa who had the Yellow Cap in my 'Challenge Hutch' pool last weekend. Henk had 6/7 in Round 17, only missing the draw between the Highlanders and the Bulls.
Here are my predictions for Round 18:
Highlanders v Waratahs
The Tahs have a slim chance of making the playoffs, but they seem to have thrown in the towel - fly-half Bernard Foley, captain Michael Hooper, maverick Kurtley Beale are all rested, along with Sekope Kepu and Rob Simmons, and I think they'll be thrashed in Invercargill. Highlanders by 28Rebels v Chiefs
This should be a cracker with the winner going through, and the loser going home. The Rebels rested their stars last week in anticipation of this more winnable match, whilst the Chiefs also had a break following their win over the Crusaders in Suva a fortnight ago. Superior Super Rugby pedigree has me leaning towards the Chiefs to win. Chiefs by 4Jaguares v Sunwolves
The Jaguares can secure second seed with a bonus point win here, so they shouldn't be going too easy on the lowly Sunwolves. Jaguares by 23Hurricanes v Blues
The Hurricanes have already booked their playoff place and so have named a much-changed lineup for this match against the Blues. It makes the Superbru pick much tougher, but given they have won the last 8 against the Blues, and that the Blues have not won away from home all season, a home win is sensible. However, if you need to make up ground in your pools, this might be a good opportunity to go against the crowd. Hurricanes by 13Brumbies v Reds
The Brumbies have already won the Australian conference, and barring a calamity in Buenos Aires, will be 3rd seeds going into the knockout stages. I'd expect them to beat the Reds at home, to continue their momentum into the playoffs. Brumbies by 16Stormers v Sharks
This is another game where the winner will go through, and the loser will likely be out. Given that the Stormers have only lost once at home all season, added to the fact that they beat the Sharks in Durban earlier in the season, a home win is the sensible pick here. Stormers by 8Bulls v Lions
The Bulls are already in the playoffs but can improve their prospects with a higher seeding if they beat the Lions, whilst a defeat for their local rivals could mean they miss out on the knockout stages this year. The Lions have won 6 of the last 8 against the Bulls, but home advantage at Loftus is significant, and given that the Bulls also won away at the Lions in March, I'm giving this one to the Bulls. Bulls by 2Follow Superbru on Twitter: @Superbru for regular info and updates.
Bulls vs Lions or Rebels vs Chiefs?
The later matches could be damp squibbs if teams know even a Bonus Point won't be enough? If it were possible they should play all Round 18 matches simultaneously, like in the EPL, to avoid mutually beneficial results as Deerhunta points out above.
15 Jun 19:33