RWC Fixture Cancellations: The Effect on Superbru
As many of you will have already heard, Typhoon Hagibis is expected to hit Japan this weekend and the potential damage such dangerous weather can cause has meant that the Rugby World Cup has been forced to cancel two pool stage matches. Let us start by saying that we hope everyone in Japan and all other areas affected by the typhoon remain safe.
So far, New Zealand vs. Italy and England vs. France have been cancelled (both had been scheduled for Saturday). It is quite possible that there will be further disruption and the tournament has announced that a late decision will be made for some of Sunday's planned fixtures:
"Every effort is being made to ensure Sunday’s matches will be played as scheduled. A thorough assessment of venues will take place after the Typhoon has passed before a final decision is made on Sunday morning."
Due to the format of a Rugby World Cup, for tournament purposes cancelled fixtures are considered 0-0 draws and therefore each team receives 2 pool stage points in such a situation. As a result, it has now been confirmed that England will top Pool C with France qualifying for the quarter-finals as runners up, and New Zealand have topped Pool B with South Africa progressing in second spot.
At Superbru, if a match is called off, it is treated as null and void in our Predictor game. No points are earned, even though the matches are officially recorded as a draw for the tournament's purposes.
The ability to make picks for the matches that have been cancelled will shortly be removed and all picks that have already been made will be cleared. Regardless of whether you've picked New Zealand, Italy or a Draw, everyone will be receiving 0 points. For this reason, don’t pick a draw for Scotland v Japan in the hopes that it will be called off. If it’s called off there will be no Superbru points. You’re much better off making a pick as normal in the hopes that the game will go ahead.
We appreciate that this unfortunate situation has more of an impact on our fantasy game, however, the same kind of thing applies. As has been the case when previous fixtures have been cancelled, affecting our fantasy games, players who were due to play in matches that have been cancelled will not receive any fantasy points, just as a player would receive no points if they were not selected for the match.
This is an unfortunate scenario for the tournament, but once again we send our thoughts to those in Japan that will be affected by this devastating storm.
So far, New Zealand vs. Italy and England vs. France have been cancelled (both had been scheduled for Saturday). It is quite possible that there will be further disruption and the tournament has announced that a late decision will be made for some of Sunday's planned fixtures:
"Every effort is being made to ensure Sunday’s matches will be played as scheduled. A thorough assessment of venues will take place after the Typhoon has passed before a final decision is made on Sunday morning."
Due to the format of a Rugby World Cup, for tournament purposes cancelled fixtures are considered 0-0 draws and therefore each team receives 2 pool stage points in such a situation. As a result, it has now been confirmed that England will top Pool C with France qualifying for the quarter-finals as runners up, and New Zealand have topped Pool B with South Africa progressing in second spot.
At Superbru, if a match is called off, it is treated as null and void in our Predictor game. No points are earned, even though the matches are officially recorded as a draw for the tournament's purposes.
The ability to make picks for the matches that have been cancelled will shortly be removed and all picks that have already been made will be cleared. Regardless of whether you've picked New Zealand, Italy or a Draw, everyone will be receiving 0 points. For this reason, don’t pick a draw for Scotland v Japan in the hopes that it will be called off. If it’s called off there will be no Superbru points. You’re much better off making a pick as normal in the hopes that the game will go ahead.
We appreciate that this unfortunate situation has more of an impact on our fantasy game, however, the same kind of thing applies. As has been the case when previous fixtures have been cancelled, affecting our fantasy games, players who were due to play in matches that have been cancelled will not receive any fantasy points, just as a player would receive no points if they were not selected for the match.
This is an unfortunate scenario for the tournament, but once again we send our thoughts to those in Japan that will be affected by this devastating storm.
All the best to the Wallabies tomorrow night.
10 Oct 18:12
- The weather and its side-effects is beyond the control of mere mortals
- Superbru has predefined rules in place to deal with cancelled matches
- Similarly, the IRB has such rules in place; as do the bookies
- All sport has an element of luck, as does predicting sports
Applying knowledge and research is fundamental to prediction success. The cyclone was common knowledge, being shared on every platform leading up to the Round. I knew that the storms were expected, but chose to believe that no matches would be cancelled. I selected All Blacks based on this presumption. A risk, no doubt. However, I believed that it was too risky to only select players from matches scheduled before the expected bad weather. Faced with the same decision again, I would make the same call. Very few games are ever cancelled. 99% chance of Beauden Barrett is better than 100% chance of AJ MacGinty, etcetera. Risk v reward is central to sporting success. That applies to predi
You can predict a draw. If the match is drawn, you'll get 1 match point, a Margin half-point, and a share of the Bonus point in all pools.
However, if the match is called off, you will get zero points no matter what result you predicted, even a draw.
Superbru are advising us to only predict a draw if we expect the match to be played to a draw. Picking a draw in case the match is called off is however, folly. 10 Oct 16:32
The cancelled games make a mockery of the fantasy competition with 4 maybe 6 teams involved. You have to null and void fantasy round 3. Your job is to run the fantasy game fairly and not talk about the typhoon so much
AFTER THE SCHEDULED KICKOFF.
So what's the problem?
DONT MAKE THE REST OUT AS STUPID if you got it more right than your fellow guy